NJ hospital admissions could peak at 8,000 in February 2022

NJ hospital admissions could peak at 8,000 in February 2022

The number of confirmed positive COVID cases in New Jersey has been declining over the past four days, but the latest modeling indicates that hospitalizations will continue to increase and we may not reach the peak of this latest COVID wave driven by the omicron variant before sometime in February.

New modeling

State Health Commissioner Judy Persichilli said we currently have just over 6,000 admissions, and based on what we know right now, “we expect admissions increases to reach around 8,000 probably by the end of the 3rd week. January enters the first week of February. “

“The peak may actually occur sometime in the first two weeks of February before a downturn comes. We believe we are going to have high levels for a few weeks.”

Cases are starting to fall

Last Friday, New Jersey had 33,459 new COVID cases, the number dropped to 29,564 on Saturday, it went to 26,615 on Sunday, and during the coronavirus update on Monday, Governor Phil Murphy announced 21,691 new cases.

“The transmission speed has started to drop. If God wills, it’s the beginning of something, but I do not know if we know enough to be able to say that,” he said.

Persichilli said the trend is positive and hopefully it will continue, but “we expect cases to remain at 20,000 to 30,000 during January.”

Cases, hospitalizations, deaths

COVID cases peak first, followed by hospitalizations seven to 14 days later. A week or two after that is when deaths occur.

“Omicron is a fun variant that shoots far up, just like in South Africa it dropped just as fast, we can only hope it happens,” Persichilli said.

Murphy said the current number of hospital admissions in New Jersey is nearly four times the number a month ago, when 1,531 COVID patients were treated at Garden State hospitals, while the intensive care unit and the number of patients in ventilators have nearly doubled since Christmas.

You can contact reporter David Matthau at David.Matthau@townsquaremedia.com.

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